Apollon Limassolvs
Aris
3 - 2Full time · 5 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 62.8%
- Market said
- 52.4%
- Edge
- +10.4 pts
- Best odds
- 1.91
The call, locked before kick-off
CorrectApollon Limassol Win
Match Winner · best price 1.91
The market underrated this by 10.4 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Moderate prediction - medium confidence
How the two sides compared
Apollon Limassol
Aris
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
5 of 5 right
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
- Edge
- +6.9
- Odds
- 1.28
Match Winner
Apollon Limassol Win
- Edge
- +10.4
- Odds
- 1.91
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- -2.5
- Odds
- 1.65
Draw No Bet
Apollon Limassol (DNB)
- Edge
- -3.1
- Odds
- 1.75
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- -5.1
- Odds
- 1.80
Correct Score
Score: 1-0
- Edge
- +1.6
- Odds
- 9.67
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
1-0
11.9%
1-1
10.3%
0-1
9.9%
We called 5 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.