Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A badgeCampeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A · 4 April 2026AI PICK

AR São Martinho badgeAR São MartinhovsRibeira Brava badgeRibeira Brava

2 - 0
Correct

Full time · 4 of 6 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
61.7%
Market said
50.0%
Edge
+11.7 pts
Best odds
2.00

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

AR São Martinho Win

Match Winner · best price 2.00

MediumEdge +11.7%
Our model61.7%
The market50.0%

The market underrated this by 11.7 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Double chance : AR São Martinho or draw

How the two sides compared

AR São Martinho badge

AR São Martinho

Attack13
Defence40
Form7
Ribeira Brava badge

Ribeira Brava

Attack7
Defence13
Form0

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

4 of 6 right, 1 close

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Edge +18.6%
Our model90.0%
The market71.4%
Edge
+18.6
Odds
1.40

Match Winner

AR São Martinho Win

Edge +11.7%Correct
Our model61.7%
The market50.0%
Edge
+11.7
Odds
2.00

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Close
Our model50.0%
The market52.6%
Edge
-2.6
Odds
1.90

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Correct
Our model50.0%
The market52.6%
Edge
-2.6
Odds
1.90

Goals Over/Under

Over 3.5 Goals

Miss
Our model50.0%
The market52.6%
Edge
-2.6
Odds
1.90

Goals Over/Under

Under 3.5 Goals

Correct
Our model50.0%
The market52.6%
Edge
-2.6
Odds
1.90

Draw No Bet

AR São Martinho (DNB)

Correct
Our model45.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-12.1
Odds
1.75

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 4 of 6 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.