Segunda División badgeSegunda División · 9 May 2026AI PICK

Aragua FC badgeAragua FCvsAtletico Avila FC badgeAtletico Avila FC

1 - 1
Correct

Full time · 1 of 3 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
80.8%
Market said
66.7%
Edge
+14.1 pts
Best odds
1.50

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.50

High confidenceEdge +14.1%
Our model80.8%
The market66.7%

The market underrated this by 14.1 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Aragua FC badge

Aragua FC

Attack29
Defence87
Form44
Atletico Avila FC badge

Atletico Avila FC

Attack29
Defence59
Form30

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 3 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +6.9%
Our model85.0%
The market78.1%
Edge
+6.9
Odds
1.28

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +14.1%Correct
Our model80.8%
The market66.7%
Edge
+14.1
Odds
1.50

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: No

Edge +12.7%Miss
Our model66.8%
The market54.1%
Edge
+12.7
Odds
1.85

Draw No Bet

Aragua FC (DNB)

Void
Our model52.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-5.1
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

Aragua FC Win

Edge +1.7%Miss
Our model51.7%
The market50.0%
Edge
+1.7
Odds
2.00

Correct Score

Score: 0-0

Edge +2.9%Miss
Our model22.8%
The market19.9%
Edge
+2.9
Odds
5.03

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

0-0

22.8%

0-1

19.1%

1-0

19.1%

We called 1 of 3 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.