Segunda División badgeSegunda División · 1 August 2026AI PICK

Aragua FC badgeAragua FCvsBolívar badgeBolívar

1 - 0
Correct

Full time · 3 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

We called
Under 2.5 Goals
Model confidence
57.4%
Markets called
3 of 4 right
Final score
1 - 0

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.50

MediumEdge -7.4%
Our model57.4%
The market64.8%

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Aragua FC badge

Aragua FC

Attack37
Defence76
Form43
Bolívar badge

Bolívar

Attack41
Defence61
Form40

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 4 right

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Correct
Our model57.4%
The market64.8%
Edge
-7.4
Odds
1.50

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: No

Correct
Our model53.1%
The market59.8%
Edge
-6.7
Odds
1.85

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Correct
Our model51.7%
The market82.0%
Edge
-30.3
Odds
1.22

Match Winner

Draw

Edge +6.6%Miss
Our model38.4%
The market31.8%
Edge
+6.6
Odds
3.00

Correct Score

Score: 0-0

Miss
Our model15.3%
The market17.6%
Edge
-2.3
Odds
5.69

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

0-0

15.3%

1-1

15.3%

0-1

11.8%

We called 3 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.