Segunda División badgeSegunda División · 23 May 2026AI PICK

Aragua FC badgeAragua FCvsMineros de Guyana badgeMineros de Guyana

2 - 0
Correct

Full time · 4 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
74.9%
Market said
69.4%
Edge
+5.5 pts
Best odds
1.44

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.44

High confidenceEdge +5.5%
Our model74.9%
The market69.4%

The market underrated this by 5.5 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Aragua FC badge

Aragua FC

Attack28
Defence88
Form42
Mineros de Guyana badge

Mineros de Guyana

Attack32
Defence39
Form15

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

4 of 4 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +6.9%
Our model85.0%
The market78.1%
Edge
+6.9
Odds
1.28

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +5.5%Correct
Our model74.9%
The market69.4%
Edge
+5.5
Odds
1.44

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: No

Edge +12.7%Correct
Our model66.8%
The market54.1%
Edge
+12.7
Odds
1.85

Draw No Bet

Aragua FC (DNB)

Correct
Our model49.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-8.1
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

Aragua FC Win

Correct
Our model42.0%
The market55.6%
Edge
-13.6
Odds
1.80

Correct Score

Score: 0-0

Edge +2.9%Miss
Our model22.8%
The market19.9%
Edge
+2.9
Odds
5.03

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

0-0

22.8%

0-1

19.1%

1-0

19.1%

We called 4 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.