Serie D badgeSerie D · 3 May 2026AI PICK

Araguaína badgeAraguaínavsHumaitá badgeHumaitá

6 - 0
Miss

Full time · 3 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
56.1%
Market said
54.1%
Edge
+2.0 pts
Best odds
1.85

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Both Teams To Score · best price 1.85

MediumEdge +2.0%
Our model56.1%
The market54.1%

The market underrated this by 2.0 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Araguaína badge

Araguaína

Attack47
Defence50
Form42
Humaitá badge

Humaitá

Attack57
Defence44
Form38

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 5 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +13.6%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market71.4%
Edge
+13.6
Odds
1.40

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +2.0%Miss
Our model56.1%
The market54.1%
Edge
+2.0
Odds
1.85

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +1.8%Miss
Our model54.4%
The market52.6%
Edge
+1.8
Odds
1.90

Draw No Bet

Araguaína (DNB)

Correct
Our model48.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-9.1
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

Araguaína Win

Correct
Our model47.9%
The market50.0%
Edge
-2.1
Odds
2.00

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.