Serie D · 24 May 2026AI PICK
Araguaínavs
Porto Velho
1 - 1Full time · 1 of 4 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 69.2%
- Market said
- 51.3%
- Edge
- +17.9 pts
- Best odds
- 1.95
The call, locked before kick-off
CloseOver 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 1.95
The market underrated this by 17.9 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Moderate prediction - medium confidence
How the two sides compared
Araguaína
Porto Velho
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
1 of 4 right, 1 close
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
- Edge
- +8.1
- Odds
- 1.30
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +17.9
- Odds
- 1.95
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- +8.7
- Odds
- 1.73
Draw No Bet
Araguaína (DNB)
- Edge
- -5.1
- Odds
- 1.75
Match Winner
Araguaína Win
- Edge
- +6.3
- Odds
- 2.45
Correct Score
Score: 2-1
- Edge
- +1.1
- Odds
- 13.72
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
2-1
8.4%
1-1
7.5% · actual
1-2
7.5%
We called 1 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.