UEFA Champions League badgeUEFA Champions League · 4 August 2026AI PICK

Ararat-Armenia badgeArarat-ArmeniavsCelje badgeCelje

2 - 1
Correct

Full time · 2 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
73.0%
Market said
55.0%
Edge
+18.0 pts
Best odds
1.76

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Both Teams To Score · best price 1.76

High confidenceEdge +18.0%
Our model73.0%
The market55.0%

The market underrated this by 18.0 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Ararat-Armenia badge

Ararat-Armenia

Attack54
Defence69
Form54
Celje badge

Celje

Attack67
Defence54
Form54

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 4 right

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +18.0%Correct
Our model73.0%
The market55.0%
Edge
+18.0
Odds
1.76

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +25.5%Correct
Our model72.9%
The market47.4%
Edge
+25.5
Odds
2.07

Draw No Bet

Celje (DNB)

Miss
Our model56.2%
The market57.1%
Edge
-0.9
Odds
1.75

Double Chance

X2 (Draw or Away)

Our model51.7%
The market70.9%
Edge
-19.2
Odds
1.41

Match Winner

Celje Win

Miss
Our model33.3%
The market40.3%
Edge
-7.0
Odds
2.48

Correct Score

Score: 1-2

Miss
Our model8.1%
The market9.3%
Edge
-1.2
Odds
10.72

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-2

8.1%

1-1

9.2%

2-1

7.3% · actual

We called 2 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.