UEFA Europa League badgeUEFA Europa League · 27 August 2026AI PICK

Ararat-Armenia badgeArarat-ArmeniavsUniversitatea Craiova badgeUniversitatea Craiova

1 - 0
Miss

Full time · 1 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
58.2%
Market said
47.0%
Edge
+11.2 pts
Best odds
2.13

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 2.13

MediumEdge +11.2%
Our model58.2%
The market47.0%

The market underrated this by 11.2 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Ararat-Armenia badge

Ararat-Armenia

Attack53
Defence59
Form56
Universitatea Craiova badge

Universitatea Craiova

Attack67
Defence58
Form60

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 5 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +5.9%Correct
Our model78.9%
The market73.0%
Edge
+5.9
Odds
1.37

Draw No Bet

Universitatea Craiova (DNB)

Miss
Our model63.4%
The market63.7%
Edge
-0.3
Odds
1.57

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +11.2%Miss
Our model58.2%
The market47.0%
Edge
+11.2
Odds
2.13

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +0.9%Miss
Our model53.9%
The market53.0%
Edge
+0.9
Odds
1.81

Match Winner

Universitatea Craiova Win

Edge +3.9%Miss
Our model50.0%
The market46.1%
Edge
+3.9
Odds
2.17

Correct Score

Score: 1-2

Miss
Our model8.1%
The market9.3%
Edge
-1.2
Odds
10.72

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-2

8.1%

1-1

9.2%

2-1

7.3%

We called 1 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.