Championship badgeChampionship · 5 September 2026AI PICK

Arbroath badgeArbroathvsDunfermline badgeDunfermline

1 - 1
Correct

Full time · 1 of 3 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
55.2%
Market said
51.0%
Edge
+4.2 pts
Best odds
1.87

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Both Teams To Score · best price 1.87

MediumEdge +4.2%
Our model55.2%
The market51.0%

The market underrated this by 4.2 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Arbroath badge

Arbroath

Attack81
Defence33
Form53
Dunfermline badge

Dunfermline

Attack85
Defence48
Form56

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 3 right, 1 close

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Our model67.9%
The market71.4%
Edge
-3.5
Odds
1.40

Draw No Bet

Arbroath (DNB)

Edge +7.9%Void
Our model57.4%
The market49.5%
Edge
+7.9
Odds
2.02

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +4.2%Correct
Our model55.2%
The market51.0%
Edge
+4.2
Odds
1.87

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +11.3%Close
Our model54.6%
The market43.3%
Edge
+11.3
Odds
2.21

Match Winner

Arbroath Win

Edge +4.9%Miss
Our model43.2%
The market38.3%
Edge
+4.9
Odds
2.61

Correct Score

Score: 2-1

Miss
Our model8.7%
The market10.0%
Edge
-1.3
Odds
10.03

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-1

8.7%

1-1

12.2% · actual

1-2

8.1%

We called 1 of 3 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.