First League badgeFirst League · 26 April 2026AI PICK

Arda Kardzhali badgeArda KardzhalivsBotev Plovdiv badgeBotev Plovdiv

0 - 2
Miss

Full time · 1 of 5 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
59.3%
Market said
52.4%
Edge
+6.9 pts
Best odds
1.91

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Both Teams To Score · best price 1.91

MediumEdge +6.9%
Our model59.3%
The market52.4%

The market underrated this by 6.9 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Arda Kardzhali badge

Arda Kardzhali

Attack60
Defence62
Form64
Botev Plovdiv badge

Botev Plovdiv

Attack55
Defence73
Form51

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 5 right, 1 close

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +11.5%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market73.5%
Edge
+11.5
Odds
1.36

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +6.9%Miss
Our model59.3%
The market52.4%
Edge
+6.9
Odds
1.91

Draw No Bet

Arda Kardzhali (DNB)

Miss
Our model53.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-4.1
Odds
1.75

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +8.5%Close
Our model52.9%
The market44.4%
Edge
+8.5
Odds
2.25

Match Winner

Arda Kardzhali Win

Edge +1.6%Miss
Our model51.6%
The market50.0%
Edge
+1.6
Odds
2.00

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 1 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.