First League badgeFirst League · 4 September 2026AI PICK

Arda Kardzhali badgeArda KardzhalivsBotev Plovdiv badgeBotev Plovdiv

2 - 3
Correct

Full time · 3 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
61.2%
Market said
47.1%
Edge
+14.1 pts
Best odds
2.04

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 2.04

MediumEdge +14.1%
Our model61.2%
The market47.1%

The market underrated this by 14.1 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Arda Kardzhali badge

Arda Kardzhali

Attack46
Defence86
Form60
Botev Plovdiv badge

Botev Plovdiv

Attack70
Defence64
Form62

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 5 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +4.2%Correct
Our model81.7%
The market77.5%
Edge
+4.2
Odds
1.29

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +14.1%Correct
Our model61.2%
The market47.1%
Edge
+14.1
Odds
2.04

Draw No Bet

Arda Kardzhali (DNB)

Miss
Our model57.0%
The market63.7%
Edge
-6.7
Odds
1.57

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +2.2%Correct
Our model55.2%
The market53.0%
Edge
+2.2
Odds
1.81

Match Winner

Arda Kardzhali Win

Miss
Our model46.6%
The market49.0%
Edge
-2.4
Odds
2.04

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.