First League · 31 August 2026AI PICK
Arda Kardzhalivs
Botev Vratsa
2 - 0Full time · 5 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 86.7%
- Market said
- 65.4%
- Edge
- +21.3 pts
- Best odds
- 1.53
The call, locked before kick-off
CorrectArda Kardzhali Win
Match Winner · best price 1.53
The market underrated this by 21.3 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Close match - low confidence
How the two sides compared
Arda Kardzhali
Botev Vratsa
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
5 of 5 right
Draw No Bet
Arda Kardzhali (DNB)
- Edge
- +12.5
- Odds
- 1.23
Double Chance
1X (Home or Draw)
- Edge
- -3.5
- Odds
- 1.07
Match Winner
Arda Kardzhali Win
- Edge
- +21.3
- Odds
- 1.53
Goals Over/Under
Under 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +2.1
- Odds
- 1.61
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: No
- Edge
- -7.6
- Odds
- 1.55
Correct Score
Score: 1-0
- Edge
- -1.9
- Odds
- 6.83
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
1-0
12.7%
1-1
14.7%
0-0
12.8%
We called 5 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.