First League · 16 May 2026AI PICK
Arda Kardzhalivs
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
4 - 0Full time · 3 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 70.4%
- Market said
- 60.2%
- Edge
- +10.2 pts
- Best odds
- 1.66
The call, locked before kick-off
MissUnder 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 1.66
The market underrated this by 10.2 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Close match - low confidence
How the two sides compared
Arda Kardzhali
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
3 of 5 right
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
- Edge
- +9.2
- Odds
- 1.32
Goals Over/Under
Under 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +10.2
- Odds
- 1.66
Draw No Bet
Arda Kardzhali (DNB)
- Edge
- -10.1
- Odds
- 1.75
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- -6.7
- Odds
- 1.87
Match Winner
Arda Kardzhali Win
- Edge
- -6.5
- Odds
- 2.17
Correct Score
Score: 0-1
- Edge
- +2.0
- Odds
- 7.42
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
0-1
15.5%
1-0
14.3%
1-1
11.4%
We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.