Primera División RFEF - Group 1 · 17 May 2026AI PICK
Arenteirovs
Ponferradina
0 - 1Full time · 1 of 2 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 52.4%
- Market said
- 47.6%
- Edge
- +4.8 pts
- Best odds
- 2.10
The call, locked before kick-off
MissBoth Teams To Score: Yes
Both Teams To Score · best price 2.10
The market underrated this by 4.8 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Close match - low confidence
How the two sides compared
Arenteiro
Ponferradina
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
1 of 2 right
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
- Edge
- +6.9
- Odds
- 1.28
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- +4.8
- Odds
- 2.10
Draw No Bet
Arenteiro (DNB)
- Edge
- -10.1
- Odds
- 1.75
Match Winner
Arenteiro Win
- Edge
- +11.8
- Odds
- 4.10
Correct Score
Score: 0-1
- Edge
- +2.0
- Odds
- 7.52
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
0-1
15.3% · actual
1-0
13.1%
1-1
11.3%
We called 1 of 2 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.