Serie B badgeSerie B · 30 August 2026AI PICK

Arezzo badgeArezzovsPalermo badgePalermo

2 - 3
Correct

Full time · 5 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
61.3%
Market said
42.0%
Edge
+19.3 pts
Best odds
2.23

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 2.23

MediumEdge +19.3%
Our model61.3%
The market42.0%

The market underrated this by 19.3 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Arezzo badge

Arezzo

Attack65
Defence42
Form46
Palermo badge

Palermo

Attack82
Defence77
Form58

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

5 of 5 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +0.3%Correct
Our model75.5%
The market75.2%
Edge
+0.3
Odds
1.33

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +19.3%Correct
Our model61.3%
The market42.0%
Edge
+19.3
Odds
2.23

Draw No Bet

Palermo (DNB)

Correct
Our model57.2%
The market58.8%
Edge
-1.6
Odds
1.70

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +3.7%Correct
Our model53.9%
The market50.2%
Edge
+3.7
Odds
1.89

Match Winner

Palermo Win

Correct
Our model43.2%
The market43.9%
Edge
-0.7
Odds
2.28

Correct Score

Score: 1-2

Miss
Our model8.4%
The market9.7%
Edge
-1.3
Odds
10.32

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-2

8.4%

1-1

10.0%

2-1

7.5%

We called 5 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.