Arezzovs
Union Brescia
2 - 0Full time · 3 of 5 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 54.5%
- Market said
- 45.5%
- Edge
- +9.0 pts
- Best odds
- 2.20
The call, locked before kick-off
CloseOver 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 2.20
The market underrated this by 9.0 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Close match - low confidence
How the two sides compared
Arezzo
Union Brescia
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
3 of 5 right, 1 close
Double Chance
1X (Home or Draw)
- Edge
- -4.2
- Odds
- 1.30
Draw No Bet
Arezzo (DNB)
- Edge
- +3.2
- Odds
- 1.75
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +9.0
- Odds
- 2.20
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- +2.3
- Odds
- 1.95
Match Winner
Arezzo Win
- Edge
- -5.7
- Odds
- 2.05
Correct Score
Score: 2-1
- Edge
- -1.5
- Odds
- 8.96
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
2-1
9.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-0
8.1% · actual
We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.