Coppa Italia badgeCoppa Italia · 9 August 2026AI PICK

Arezzo badgeArezzovsUnion Brescia badgeUnion Brescia

2 - 0
Close

Full time · 3 of 5 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
54.5%
Market said
45.5%
Edge
+9.0 pts
Best odds
2.20

The call, locked before kick-off

Close

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 2.20

LowEdge +9.0%
Our model54.5%
The market45.5%

The market underrated this by 9.0 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Arezzo badge

Arezzo

Attack53
Defence42
Form33
Union Brescia badge

Union Brescia

Attack50
Defence50
Form50

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 5 right, 1 close

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Correct
Our model72.7%
The market76.9%
Edge
-4.2
Odds
1.30

Draw No Bet

Arezzo (DNB)

Edge +3.2%Correct
Our model60.3%
The market57.1%
Edge
+3.2
Odds
1.75

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +9.0%Close
Our model54.5%
The market45.5%
Edge
+9.0
Odds
2.20

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +2.3%Miss
Our model53.6%
The market51.3%
Edge
+2.3
Odds
1.95

Match Winner

Arezzo Win

Correct
Our model43.1%
The market48.8%
Edge
-5.7
Odds
2.05

Correct Score

Score: 2-1

Close
Our model9.7%
The market11.2%
Edge
-1.5
Odds
8.96

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-1

9.7%

1-1

12.2%

2-0

8.1% · actual

We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.