Argentinavs
Cape Verde Islands
3 - 2Full time · 4 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 63.8%
- Market said
- 35.9%
- Edge
- +27.9 pts
- Best odds
- 2.75
The call, locked before kick-off
CorrectBoth Teams To Score: Yes
Both Teams To Score · best price 2.75
The market underrated this by 27.9 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Moderate prediction - medium confidence
How the two sides compared
Argentina
Cape Verde Islands
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
4 of 4 right
Draw No Bet
Argentina (DNB)
- Edge
- +24.7
- Odds
- 1.75
Double Chance
1X (Home or Draw)
- Edge
- -25.5
- Odds
- 1.03
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- +27.9
- Odds
- 2.75
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +0.4
- Odds
- 1.67
Match Winner
Argentina Win
- Edge
- -40.0
- Odds
- 1.17
Correct Score
Score: 2-1
- Edge
- -1.2
- Odds
- 10.74
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
2-1
8.1%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
6.9%
We called 4 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.