Liga I badgeLiga I · 24 July 2026AI PICK

Arges Pitesti badgeArges PitestivsPetrolul Ploiesti badgePetrolul Ploiesti

1 - 0
Miss

Full time · 2 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
69.4%
Market said
38.5%
Edge
+30.9 pts
Best odds
2.41

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 2.41

MediumEdge +30.9%
Our model69.4%
The market38.5%

The market underrated this by 30.9 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Arges Pitesti badge

Arges Pitesti

Attack76
Defence51
Form48
Petrolul Ploiesti badge

Petrolul Ploiesti

Attack65
Defence44
Form50

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 4 right

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Our model73.0%
The market78.7%
Edge
-5.7
Odds
1.27

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +30.9%Miss
Our model69.4%
The market38.5%
Edge
+30.9
Odds
2.41

Draw No Bet

Arges Pitesti (DNB)

Correct
Our model54.5%
The market57.1%
Edge
-2.6
Odds
1.75

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +6.8%Miss
Our model53.3%
The market46.5%
Edge
+6.8
Odds
2.08

Match Winner

Arges Pitesti Win

Correct
Our model42.8%
The market45.9%
Edge
-3.1
Odds
2.18

Correct Score

Score: 2-1

Miss
Our model8.4%
The market9.7%
Edge
-1.3
Odds
10.34

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-1

8.4%

1-1

8.6%

2-2

7.1%

We called 2 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.