1. Division · 22 May 2026AI PICK
Arisvs
AEK Larnaca
3 - 4Full time · 2 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 56.1%
- Market said
- 36.8%
- Edge
- +19.3 pts
- Best odds
- 2.72
The call, locked before kick-off
MissAris Win
Match Winner · best price 2.72
The market underrated this by 19.3 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Moderate prediction - medium confidence
How the two sides compared
Aris
AEK Larnaca
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
2 of 4 right
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
- Edge
- +7.5
- Odds
- 1.29
Match Winner
Aris Win
- Edge
- +19.3
- Odds
- 2.72
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- -5.5
- Odds
- 1.63
Draw No Bet
Aris (DNB)
- Edge
- -3.1
- Odds
- 1.75
Correct Score
Score: 1-0
- Edge
- +1.8
- Odds
- 8.59
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
1-0
13.4%
0-1
10.9%
1-1
10.7%
We called 2 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.