Primeira Liga · 29 August 2026AI PICK
Aroucavs
Maritimo
2 - 1Full time · 2 of 4 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 54.0%
- Market said
- 51.6%
- Edge
- +2.4 pts
- Best odds
- 1.86
The call, locked before kick-off
MissBoth Teams To Score: No
Both Teams To Score · best price 1.86
The market underrated this by 2.4 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Close match - low confidence
How the two sides compared
Arouca
Maritimo
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
2 of 4 right, 1 close
Double Chance
1X (Home or Draw)
- Edge
- -6.7
- Odds
- 1.33
Draw No Bet
Arouca (DNB)
- Edge
- -4.3
- Odds
- 1.64
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: No
- Edge
- +2.4
- Odds
- 1.86
Goals Over/Under
Under 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- -2.9
- Odds
- 1.74
Match Winner
Arouca Win
- Edge
- -3.4
- Odds
- 2.24
Correct Score
Score: 1-0
- Edge
- -1.4
- Odds
- 9.34
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
1-0
9.3%
2-1
7.3% · actual
2-0
6.1%
We called 2 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.