First League badgeFirst League · 22 April 2026AI PICK

Arsenal Tula badgeArsenal TulavsChelyabinsk badgeChelyabinsk

0 - 0
Miss

Full time · 1 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
56.1%
Market said
50.3%
Edge
+5.8 pts
Best odds
1.99

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Both Teams To Score · best price 1.99

MediumEdge +5.8%
Our model56.1%
The market50.3%

The market underrated this by 5.8 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Arsenal Tula badge

Arsenal Tula

Attack49
Defence51
Form45
Chelyabinsk badge

Chelyabinsk

Attack52
Defence37
Form33

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 4 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +8.1%Miss
Our model85.0%
The market76.9%
Edge
+8.1
Odds
1.30

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +5.8%Miss
Our model56.1%
The market50.3%
Edge
+5.8
Odds
1.99

Match Winner

Arsenal Tula Win

Edge +4.6%Miss
Our model54.6%
The market50.0%
Edge
+4.6
Odds
2.00

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Correct
Our model54.4%
The market59.2%
Edge
-4.8
Odds
1.69

Draw No Bet

Arsenal Tula (DNB)

Void
Our model51.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-6.1
Odds
1.75

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 1 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.