First League badgeFirst League · 19 July 2026AI PICK

Arsenal Tula badgeArsenal TulavsFK Neftekhimik badgeFK Neftekhimik

0 - 1
Miss

Full time · 1 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
57.7%
Market said
48.8%
Edge
+8.9 pts
Best odds
1.97

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Both Teams To Score · best price 1.97

MediumEdge +8.9%
Our model57.7%
The market48.8%

The market underrated this by 8.9 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Arsenal Tula badge

Arsenal Tula

Attack50
Defence40
Form40
FK Neftekhimik badge

FK Neftekhimik

Attack51
Defence59
Form46

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 5 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Correct
Our model74.2%
The market76.3%
Edge
-2.1
Odds
1.31

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +8.9%Miss
Our model57.7%
The market48.8%
Edge
+8.9
Odds
1.97

Draw No Bet

Arsenal Tula (DNB)

Miss
Our model56.8%
The market57.1%
Edge
-0.3
Odds
1.75

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +12.0%Miss
Our model55.4%
The market43.4%
Edge
+12.0
Odds
2.23

Match Winner

Arsenal Tula Win

Miss
Our model42.8%
The market52.1%
Edge
-9.3
Odds
1.92

Correct Score

Score: 2-1

Miss
Our model8.7%
The market10.0%
Edge
-1.3
Odds
10.01

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-1

8.7%

1-1

10.9%

1-2

7.7%

We called 1 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.