First League · 20 August 2026AI PICK

Arsenal TulavsRotor Volgograd

2 - 1

Correct

Full time · 3 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said: 59.4%
Market said: 39.4%
Edge: +20.0 pts
Best odds: 2.46

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 2.46

MediumEdge +20.0%

Our model59.4%

The market39.4%

The market underrated this by 20.0 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Arsenal Tula

Attack55

Defence38

Form44

Rotor Volgograd

Attack63

Defence51

Form49

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 5 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +4.0%Correct

Our model77.5%

The market73.5%

Edge: +4.0
Odds: 1.36

Draw No Bet

Rotor Volgograd (DNB)

Edge +11.0%Miss

Our model60.8%

The market49.8%

Edge: +11.0
Odds: 2.01

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +20.0%Correct

Our model59.4%

The market39.4%

Edge: +20.0
Odds: 2.46

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +4.4%Correct

Our model52.7%

The market48.3%

Edge: +4.4
Odds: 1.99

Match Winner

Rotor Volgograd Win

Edge +10.9%Miss

Our model47.1%

The market36.2%

Edge: +10.9
Odds: 2.76

Correct Score

Score: 1-2

Miss

Our model8.6%

The market9.8%

Edge: -1.2
Odds: 10.16

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-2

8.6%

1-1

11.4%

2-1

8.1% · actual

We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.

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