First League badgeFirst League · 13 July 2026AI PICK

Arsenal Tula badgeArsenal TulavsTekstilshchik badgeTekstilshchik

2 - 1
Correct

Full time · 5 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
55.9%
Market said
50.5%
Edge
+5.4 pts
Best odds
1.92

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.92

MediumEdge +5.4%
Our model55.9%
The market50.5%

The market underrated this by 5.4 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Arsenal Tula badge

Arsenal Tula

Attack52
Defence36
Form33
Tekstilshchik badge

Tekstilshchik

Attack33
Defence43
Form42

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

5 of 5 right

Draw No Bet

Arsenal Tula (DNB)

Edge +27.4%Correct
Our model84.5%
The market57.1%
Edge
+27.4
Odds
1.75

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Correct
Our model75.4%
The market90.1%
Edge
-14.7
Odds
1.11

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +5.4%Correct
Our model55.9%
The market50.5%
Edge
+5.4
Odds
1.92

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +3.4%Correct
Our model53.0%
The market49.6%
Edge
+3.4
Odds
1.94

Match Winner

Arsenal Tula Win

Correct
Our model41.6%
The market62.9%
Edge
-21.3
Odds
1.59

Correct Score

Score: 1-0

Miss
Our model10.0%
The market11.5%
Edge
-1.5
Odds
8.73

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-0

10.0%

1-1

12.9%

2-0

9.7%

We called 5 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.