First League badgeFirst League · 2 August 2026AI PICK

Arsenal Tula badgeArsenal TulavsTorpedo Moskva badgeTorpedo Moskva

1 - 0
Miss

Full time · 1 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
57.4%
Market said
43.1%
Edge
+14.3 pts
Best odds
2.25

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 2.25

MediumEdge +14.3%
Our model57.4%
The market43.1%

The market underrated this by 14.3 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Arsenal Tula badge

Arsenal Tula

Attack51
Defence30
Form33
Torpedo Moskva badge

Torpedo Moskva

Attack77
Defence83
Form82

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 5 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +0.7%Correct
Our model74.8%
The market74.1%
Edge
+0.7
Odds
1.35

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +14.3%Miss
Our model57.4%
The market43.1%
Edge
+14.3
Odds
2.25

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +5.8%Miss
Our model57.2%
The market51.4%
Edge
+5.8
Odds
1.87

Draw No Bet

Torpedo Moskva (DNB)

Miss
Our model56.2%
The market57.1%
Edge
-0.9
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

Torpedo Moskva Win

Edge +14.0%Miss
Our model50.0%
The market36.0%
Edge
+14.0
Odds
2.78

Correct Score

Score: 1-2

Miss
Our model9.1%
The market10.5%
Edge
-1.4
Odds
9.55

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-2

9.1%

1-1

10.3%

2-1

6.8%

We called 1 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.