Premier League badgePremier League · 30 May 2026AI PICK

Arsenal badgeArsenalvsDinamo Minsk badgeDinamo Minsk

0 - 1
Miss

Full time · 1 of 3 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
65.5%
Market said
51.8%
Edge
+13.7 pts
Best odds
1.93

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.93

MediumEdge +13.7%
Our model65.5%
The market51.8%

The market underrated this by 13.7 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Arsenal badge

Arsenal

Attack54
Defence32
Form38
Dinamo Minsk badge

Dinamo Minsk

Attack85
Defence68
Form80

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 3 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +1.0%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market84.0%
Edge
+1.0
Odds
1.19

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +13.7%Miss
Our model65.5%
The market51.8%
Edge
+13.7
Odds
1.93

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +22.4%Miss
Our model64.1%
The market41.7%
Edge
+22.4
Odds
2.40

Draw No Bet

Arsenal (DNB)

Our model44.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-13.1
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

Arsenal Win

Edge +32.5%
Our model40.2%
The market7.7%
Edge
+32.5
Odds
13.00

Correct Score

Score: 1-2

Edge +1.2%
Our model9.3%
The market8.1%
Edge
+1.2
Odds
12.31

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-2

9.3%

0-1

8.1% · actual

1-1

7.9%

We called 1 of 3 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.