Community Shield · 16 August 2026AI PICK
Arsenalvs
Manchester City
3 - 0Full time · 4 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 58.4%
- Market said
- 51.2%
- Edge
- +7.2 pts
- Best odds
- 1.80
The call, locked before kick-off
CorrectOver 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 1.80
The market underrated this by 7.2 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Strong prediction - high confidence
How the two sides compared
Arsenal
Manchester City
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
4 of 5 right
Double Chance
1X (Home or Draw)
- Edge
- +8.6
- Odds
- 1.50
Draw No Bet
Arsenal (DNB)
- Edge
- +12.6
- Odds
- 1.75
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +7.2
- Odds
- 1.80
Match Winner
Arsenal Win
- Edge
- +14.9
- Odds
- 2.45
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- -4.5
- Odds
- 1.70
Correct Score
Score: 2-1
- Edge
- -1.4
- Odds
- 9.42
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
2-1
9.2%
1-1
8.0%
3-1
8.0%
We called 4 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.