Premier League · 17 May 2026AI PICK

ArsenalvsML Vitebsk

0 - 3

Correct

Full time · 2 of 3 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said: 76.1%
Market said: 54.6%
Edge: +21.5 pts
Best odds: 1.83

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.83

High confidenceEdge +21.5%

Our model76.1%

The market54.6%

The market underrated this by 21.5 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Arsenal

Attack65

Defence33

Form44

ML Vitebsk

Attack100

Defence75

Form89

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 3 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +3.7%Correct

Our model85.0%

The market81.3%

Edge: +3.7
Odds: 1.23

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +21.5%Correct

Our model76.1%

The market54.6%

Edge: +21.5
Odds: 1.83

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +19.5%Miss

Our model68.3%

The market48.8%

Edge: +19.5
Odds: 2.05

Match Winner

ML Vitebsk Win

Our model62.6%

The market71.4%

Edge: -8.8
Odds: 1.40

Draw No Bet

ML Vitebsk (DNB)

Our model43.0%

The market57.1%

Edge: -14.1
Odds: 1.75

Correct Score

Score: 1-2

Edge +1.1%

Our model8.3%

The market7.2%

Edge: +1.1
Odds: 13.88

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-2

8.3%

1-3

6.9%

2-2

6.6%

We called 2 of 3 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.

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