Premier League badgePremier League · 25 April 2026AI PICK

Arsenal badgeArsenalvsNewcastle badgeNewcastle

1 - 0
Miss

Full time · 3 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
70.9%
Market said
63.7%
Edge
+7.2 pts
Best odds
1.57

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.57

High confidenceEdge +7.2%
Our model70.9%
The market63.7%

The market underrated this by 7.2 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Arsenal badge

Arsenal

Attack58
Defence74
Form60
Newcastle badge

Newcastle

Attack70
Defence33
Form42

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 5 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +1.7%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market83.3%
Edge
+1.7
Odds
1.20

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +7.2%Miss
Our model70.9%
The market63.7%
Edge
+7.2
Odds
1.57

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +8.5%Miss
Our model67.3%
The market58.8%
Edge
+8.5
Odds
1.70

Draw No Bet

Arsenal (DNB)

Correct
Our model48.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-9.1
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

Arsenal Win

Correct
Our model47.2%
The market50.0%
Edge
-2.8
Odds
2.00

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.