Premier League badgePremier League · 14 August 2026AI PICK

Arsenal badgeArsenalvsSlavia Mozyr badgeSlavia Mozyr

1 - 3
Miss

Full time · 4 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
53.7%
Market said
53.5%
Edge
+0.2 pts
Best odds
1.87

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.87

LowEdge +0.2%
Our model53.7%
The market53.5%

The market underrated this by 0.2 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Arsenal badge

Arsenal

Attack39
Defence38
Form39
Slavia Mozyr badge

Slavia Mozyr

Attack56
Defence53
Form48

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

4 of 5 right

Double Chance

X2 (Draw or Away)

Edge +5.9%Correct
Our model72.1%
The market66.2%
Edge
+5.9
Odds
1.51

Draw No Bet

Slavia Mozyr (DNB)

Edge +4.9%Correct
Our model62.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
+4.9
Odds
1.75

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +0.2%Miss
Our model53.7%
The market53.5%
Edge
+0.2
Odds
1.87

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Correct
Our model52.8%
The market61.7%
Edge
-8.9
Odds
1.62

Match Winner

Slavia Mozyr Win

Edge +11.9%Correct
Our model43.1%
The market31.3%
Edge
+11.9
Odds
3.20

Correct Score

Score: 0-1

Miss
Our model9.9%
The market11.3%
Edge
-1.4
Odds
8.82

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

0-1

9.9%

1-1

14.3%

0-0

9.9%

We called 4 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.