Serie A badgeSerie A · 18 April 2026AI PICK

AS Roma badgeAS RomavsAtalanta badgeAtalanta

1 - 1
Close

Full time · 1 of 4 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
67.5%
Market said
50.0%
Edge
+17.5 pts
Best odds
2.00

The call, locked before kick-off

Close

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 2.00

MediumEdge +17.5%
Our model67.5%
The market50.0%

The market underrated this by 17.5 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

AS Roma badge

AS Roma

Attack67
Defence47
Form48
Atalanta badge

Atalanta

Attack68
Defence40
Form53

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 4 right, 1 close

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +9.8%Miss
Our model85.0%
The market75.2%
Edge
+9.8
Odds
1.33

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +17.5%Close
Our model67.5%
The market50.0%
Edge
+17.5
Odds
2.00

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +8.7%Correct
Our model65.8%
The market57.1%
Edge
+8.7
Odds
1.75

Draw No Bet

AS Roma (DNB)

Void
Our model51.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-6.1
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

AS Roma Win

Miss
Our model40.0%
The market50.0%
Edge
-10.0
Odds
2.00

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 1 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.