Serie A badgeSerie A · 5 September 2026AI PICK

AS Roma badgeAS RomavsAtalanta badgeAtalanta

2 - 1
Correct

Full time · 5 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
59.7%
Market said
54.9%
Edge
+4.8 pts
Best odds
1.82

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

AS Roma Win

Match Winner · best price 1.82

MediumEdge +4.8%
Our model59.7%
The market54.9%

The market underrated this by 4.8 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Strong prediction - high confidence

How the two sides compared

AS Roma badge

AS Roma

Attack100
Defence33
Form52
Atalanta badge

Atalanta

Attack61
Defence98
Form79

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

5 of 5 right

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Correct
Our model79.8%
The market82.0%
Edge
-2.2
Odds
1.22

Draw No Bet

AS Roma (DNB)

Edge +1.8%Correct
Our model74.8%
The market73.0%
Edge
+1.8
Odds
1.37

Match Winner

AS Roma Win

Edge +4.8%Correct
Our model59.7%
The market54.9%
Edge
+4.8
Odds
1.82

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +9.9%Correct
Our model58.6%
The market48.7%
Edge
+9.9
Odds
2.05

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +1.4%Correct
Our model53.3%
The market51.9%
Edge
+1.4
Odds
1.85

Correct Score

Score: 2-1

Correct
Our model8.2%
The market9.4%
Edge
-1.2
Odds
10.62

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-1

8.2% · actual

3-1

7.6%

1-1

6.6%

We called 5 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.