Serie A badgeSerie A · 4 May 2026AI PICK

AS Roma badgeAS RomavsFiorentina badgeFiorentina

4 - 0
Miss

Full time · 4 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
61.7%
Market said
51.3%
Edge
+10.4 pts
Best odds
1.95

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Both Teams To Score · best price 1.95

MediumEdge +10.4%
Our model61.7%
The market51.3%

The market underrated this by 10.4 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

AS Roma badge

AS Roma

Attack68
Defence47
Form48
Fiorentina badge

Fiorentina

Attack53
Defence70
Form67

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

4 of 5 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +3.0%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market82.0%
Edge
+3.0
Odds
1.22

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +10.4%Miss
Our model61.7%
The market51.3%
Edge
+10.4
Odds
1.95

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +7.2%Correct
Our model59.6%
The market52.4%
Edge
+7.2
Odds
1.91

Draw No Bet

AS Roma (DNB)

Correct
Our model56.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-1.1
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

AS Roma Win

Edge +4.4%Correct
Our model54.4%
The market50.0%
Edge
+4.4
Odds
2.00

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 4 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.