AS Romavs
Fiorentina
4 - 0Correct
Full time · 4 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 60.0%
- Market said
- 51.1%
- Edge
- +8.9 pts
- Best odds
- 1.91
The call, locked before kick-off
CorrectOver 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 1.91
MediumEdge +8.9%
Our model60.0%
The market51.1%
The market underrated this by 8.9 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Close match - low confidence
Every market we called
4 of 5 right
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
Edge +8.0%Correct
Our model86.7%
The market78.7%
- Edge
- +8.0
- Odds
- 1.27
Draw No Bet
AS Roma (DNB)
Correct
Our model63.3%
The market75.2%
- Edge
- -11.9
- Odds
- 1.33
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
Edge +8.9%Correct
Our model60.0%
The market51.1%
- Edge
- +8.9
- Odds
- 1.91
Match Winner
AS Roma Win
Correct
Our model54.9%
The market56.8%
- Edge
- -1.9
- Odds
- 1.76
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
Edge +3.6%Miss
Our model54.2%
The market50.6%
- Edge
- +3.6
- Odds
- 1.95
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
We called 4 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.