Serie B badgeSerie B · 5 September 2026AI PICK

Ascoli badgeAscolivsBenevento badgeBenevento

1 - 0
Miss

Full time · 3 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
61.2%
Market said
50.5%
Edge
+10.7 pts
Best odds
1.98

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.98

MediumEdge +10.7%
Our model61.2%
The market50.5%

The market underrated this by 10.7 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Ascoli badge

Ascoli

Attack50
Defence40
Form39
Benevento badge

Benevento

Attack76
Defence36
Form52

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 5 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +3.3%Correct
Our model79.1%
The market75.8%
Edge
+3.3
Odds
1.32

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +10.7%Miss
Our model61.2%
The market50.5%
Edge
+10.7
Odds
1.98

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Miss
Our model55.2%
The market58.1%
Edge
-2.9
Odds
1.72

Draw No Bet

Ascoli (DNB)

Correct
Our model50.1%
The market55.6%
Edge
-5.5
Odds
1.80

Match Winner

Ascoli Win

Correct
Our model39.6%
The market42.0%
Edge
-2.4
Odds
2.38

Correct Score

Score: 1-2

Miss
Our model9.1%
The market10.5%
Edge
-1.4
Odds
9.55

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-2

9.1%

1-1

10.3%

2-1

6.8%

We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.