Liga de Ascenso · 23 August 2026AI PICK
Aserri FCvs
Municipal Grecia
3 - 2Full time · 0 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 59.4%
- Market said
- 52.4%
- Edge
- +7.0 pts
- Best odds
- 1.91
The call, locked before kick-off
MissUnder 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 1.91
The market underrated this by 7.0 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Close match - low confidence
How the two sides compared
Aserri FC
Municipal Grecia
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
0 of 5 right
Double Chance
X2 (Draw or Away)
- Edge
- +6.2
- Odds
- 1.44
Draw No Bet
Municipal Grecia (DNB)
- Edge
- +14.5
- Odds
- 2.05
Goals Over/Under
Under 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +7.0
- Odds
- 1.91
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: No
- Edge
- +6.4
- Odds
- 2.11
Match Winner
Municipal Grecia Win
- Edge
- -0.8
- Odds
- 2.33
Correct Score
Score: 0-1
- Edge
- -2.2
- Odds
- 5.97
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
0-1
14.6%
0-0
15.2%
1-1
14.7%
We called 0 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.