Ligat Ha'al · 13 May 2026AI PICK

AshdodvsHapoel Katamon

0 - 1

Correct

Full time · 1 of 2 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said: 63.3%
Market said: 50.5%
Edge: +12.8 pts
Best odds: 1.98

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Both Teams To Score: No

Both Teams To Score · best price 1.98

MediumEdge +12.8%

Our model63.3%

The market50.5%

The market underrated this by 12.8 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Ashdod

Attack29

Defence39

Form16

Hapoel Katamon

Attack24

Defence63

Form31

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 2 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +7.5%

Our model85.0%

The market77.5%

Edge: +7.5
Odds: 1.29

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: No

Edge +12.8%Correct

Our model63.3%

The market50.5%

Edge: +12.8
Odds: 1.98

Draw No Bet

Ashdod (DNB)

Our model55.0%

The market57.1%

Edge: -2.1
Odds: 1.75

Match Winner

Ashdod Win

Edge +2.4%Miss

Our model40.9%

The market38.5%

Edge: +2.4
Odds: 2.60

Correct Score

Score: 1-0

Edge +2.7%Miss

Our model20.2%

The market17.5%

Edge: +2.7
Odds: 5.70

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-0

20.2%

0-0

16.4%

0-1

14.7% · actual

We called 1 of 2 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.

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