Non League Premier - Northern badgeNon League Premier - Northern · 28 August 2026AI PICK

Ashton United badgeAshton UnitedvsGainsborough Trinity badgeGainsborough Trinity

1 - 2
Correct

Full time · 2 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
61.3%
Market said
52.9%
Edge
+8.4 pts
Best odds
1.89

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.89

MediumEdge +8.4%
Our model61.3%
The market52.9%

The market underrated this by 8.4 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Ashton United badge

Ashton United

Attack59
Defence69
Form54
Gainsborough Trinity badge

Gainsborough Trinity

Attack52
Defence62
Form41

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 4 right

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Our model69.0%
The market69.9%
Edge
-0.9
Odds
1.43

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +8.4%Correct
Our model61.3%
The market52.9%
Edge
+8.4
Odds
1.89

Draw No Bet

Ashton United (DNB)

Edge +7.6%Miss
Our model57.6%
The market50.0%
Edge
+7.6
Odds
2.00

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Correct
Our model52.5%
The market58.5%
Edge
-6.0
Odds
1.71

Match Winner

Ashton United Win

Edge +1.3%Miss
Our model42.1%
The market40.8%
Edge
+1.3
Odds
2.45

Correct Score

Score: 2-1

Miss
Our model9.3%
The market10.7%
Edge
-1.4
Odds
9.38

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-1

9.3%

1-1

11.6%

1-2

7.2% · actual

We called 2 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.