Ashton Unitedvs
Gainsborough Trinity
1 - 2Full time · 2 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 61.3%
- Market said
- 52.9%
- Edge
- +8.4 pts
- Best odds
- 1.89
The call, locked before kick-off
CorrectOver 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 1.89
The market underrated this by 8.4 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Close match - low confidence
How the two sides compared
Ashton United
Gainsborough Trinity
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
2 of 4 right
Double Chance
1X (Home or Draw)
- Edge
- -0.9
- Odds
- 1.43
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +8.4
- Odds
- 1.89
Draw No Bet
Ashton United (DNB)
- Edge
- +7.6
- Odds
- 2.00
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- -6.0
- Odds
- 1.71
Match Winner
Ashton United Win
- Edge
- +1.3
- Odds
- 2.45
Correct Score
Score: 2-1
- Edge
- -1.4
- Odds
- 9.38
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
2-1
9.3%
1-1
11.6%
1-2
7.2% · actual
We called 2 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.