Non League Premier - Northern badgeNon League Premier - Northern · 25 August 2026AI PICK

Ashton United badgeAshton UnitedvsIlkeston Town badgeIlkeston Town

1 - 1
Close

Full time · 1 of 3 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
59.4%
Market said
55.6%
Edge
+3.8 pts
Best odds
1.80

The call, locked before kick-off

Close

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.80

MediumEdge +3.8%
Our model59.4%
The market55.6%

The market underrated this by 3.8 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Ashton United badge

Ashton United

Attack64
Defence67
Form57
Ilkeston Town badge

Ilkeston Town

Attack56
Defence45
Form50

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 3 right, 1 close

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Our model72.7%
The market81.3%
Edge
-8.6
Odds
1.23

Draw No Bet

Ashton United (DNB)

Void
Our model64.7%
The market72.5%
Edge
-7.8
Odds
1.38

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +3.8%Close
Our model59.4%
The market55.6%
Edge
+3.8
Odds
1.80

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Correct
Our model52.7%
The market59.9%
Edge
-7.2
Odds
1.67

Match Winner

Ashton United Win

Miss
Our model50.0%
The market52.4%
Edge
-2.4
Odds
1.91

Correct Score

Score: 2-1

Miss
Our model9.1%
The market10.4%
Edge
-1.3
Odds
9.58

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-1

9.1%

1-1

10.8% · actual

1-2

7.2%

We called 1 of 3 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.