Cup badgeCup · 10 September 2026AI PICK

Asteras Tripolis badgeAsteras TripolisvsAris Thessalonikis badgeAris Thessalonikis

1 - 1
Miss

Full time · 2 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
60.9%
Market said
44.8%
Edge
+16.1 pts
Best odds
2.23

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Aris Thessalonikis Win

Match Winner · best price 2.23

MediumEdge +16.1%
Our model60.9%
The market44.8%

The market underrated this by 16.1 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Strong prediction - high confidence

How the two sides compared

Asteras Tripolis badge

Asteras Tripolis

Attack13
Defence54
Form13
Aris Thessalonikis badge

Aris Thessalonikis

Attack67
Defence30
Form67

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 4 right

Double Chance

X2 (Draw or Away)

Edge +14.8%Correct
Our model90.0%
The market75.2%
Edge
+14.8
Odds
1.33

Draw No Bet

Aris Thessalonikis (DNB)

Edge +30.9%Void
Our model87.1%
The market56.2%
Edge
+30.9
Odds
1.78

Match Winner

Aris Thessalonikis Win

Edge +16.1%Miss
Our model60.9%
The market44.8%
Edge
+16.1
Odds
2.23

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: No

Edge +4.3%Miss
Our model58.1%
The market53.8%
Edge
+4.3
Odds
1.86

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Correct
Our model54.1%
The market60.6%
Edge
-6.5
Odds
1.65

Correct Score

Score: 0-2

Miss
Our model18.2%
The market21.0%
Edge
-2.8
Odds
4.77

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

0-2

18.2%

0-1

17.3%

0-3

12.2%

We called 2 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.