Asteras Tripolisvs
Aris Thessalonikis
1 - 1Full time · 2 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 60.9%
- Market said
- 44.8%
- Edge
- +16.1 pts
- Best odds
- 2.23
The call, locked before kick-off
MissAris Thessalonikis Win
Match Winner · best price 2.23
The market underrated this by 16.1 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Strong prediction - high confidence
How the two sides compared
Asteras Tripolis
Aris Thessalonikis
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
2 of 4 right
Double Chance
X2 (Draw or Away)
- Edge
- +14.8
- Odds
- 1.33
Draw No Bet
Aris Thessalonikis (DNB)
- Edge
- +30.9
- Odds
- 1.78
Match Winner
Aris Thessalonikis Win
- Edge
- +16.1
- Odds
- 2.23
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: No
- Edge
- +4.3
- Odds
- 1.86
Goals Over/Under
Under 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- -6.5
- Odds
- 1.65
Correct Score
Score: 0-2
- Edge
- -2.8
- Odds
- 4.77
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
0-2
18.2%
0-1
17.3%
0-3
12.2%
We called 2 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.