Premier League 2 Division One badgePremier League 2 Division One · 1 May 2026AI PICK

Aston Villa U21 badgeAston Villa U21vsManchester City U21 badgeManchester City U21

2 - 3
Correct

Full time · 4 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
80.6%
Market said
75.2%
Edge
+5.4 pts
Best odds
1.33

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.33

High confidenceEdge +5.4%
Our model80.6%
The market75.2%

The market underrated this by 5.4 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Aston Villa U21 badge

Aston Villa U21

Attack38
Defence57
Form50
Manchester City U21 badge

Manchester City U21

Attack93
Defence100
Form76

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

4 of 4 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Our model85.0%
The market89.3%
Edge
-4.3
Odds
1.12

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +5.4%Correct
Our model80.6%
The market75.2%
Edge
+5.4
Odds
1.33

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +13.7%Correct
Our model67.8%
The market54.1%
Edge
+13.7
Odds
1.85

Draw No Bet

Manchester City U21 (DNB)

Correct
Our model48.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-9.1
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

Manchester City U21 Win

Correct
Our model40.4%
The market50.0%
Edge
-9.6
Odds
2.00

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 4 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.