Premier League · 31 August 2026AI PICK
Aston Villavs
Arsenal
0 - 1Full time · 3 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 62.8%
- Market said
- 53.5%
- Edge
- +9.3 pts
- Best odds
- 1.88
The call, locked before kick-off
MissOver 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 1.88
The market underrated this by 9.3 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Moderate prediction - medium confidence
How the two sides compared
Aston Villa
Arsenal
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
3 of 5 right
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
- Edge
- -0.6
- Odds
- 1.25
Draw No Bet
Arsenal (DNB)
- Edge
- -15.0
- Odds
- 1.25
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +9.3
- Odds
- 1.88
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- +2.0
- Odds
- 1.86
Match Winner
Arsenal Win
- Edge
- -11.3
- Odds
- 1.59
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.