Premier League · 15 May 2026AI PICK
Aston Villavs
Liverpool
4 - 2Full time · 5 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 69.2%
- Market said
- 65.4%
- Edge
- +3.8 pts
- Best odds
- 1.53
The call, locked before kick-off
CorrectOver 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 1.53
The market underrated this by 3.8 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Moderate prediction - medium confidence
How the two sides compared
Aston Villa
Liverpool
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
5 of 5 right
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
- Edge
- +5.0
- Odds
- 1.25
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +3.8
- Odds
- 1.53
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- -0.2
- Odds
- 1.50
Draw No Bet
Aston Villa (DNB)
- Edge
- -5.1
- Odds
- 1.75
Match Winner
Aston Villa Win
- Edge
- +11.9
- Odds
- 2.88
Correct Score
Score: 2-1
- Edge
- +1.1
- Odds
- 13.72
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
2-1
8.4%
1-1
7.5%
1-2
7.5%
We called 5 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.