UEFA Europa League badgeUEFA Europa League · 7 May 2026AI PICK

Aston Villa badgeAston VillavsNottingham Forest badgeNottingham Forest

4 - 0
Miss

Full time · 4 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
63.3%
Market said
52.4%
Edge
+10.9 pts
Best odds
1.91

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Both Teams To Score · best price 1.91

MediumEdge +10.9%
Our model63.3%
The market52.4%

The market underrated this by 10.9 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Aston Villa badge

Aston Villa

Attack55
Defence46
Form44
Nottingham Forest badge

Nottingham Forest

Attack61
Defence85
Form52

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

4 of 5 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +8.1%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market76.9%
Edge
+8.1
Odds
1.30

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +10.9%Miss
Our model63.3%
The market52.4%
Edge
+10.9
Odds
1.91

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +11.7%Correct
Our model61.7%
The market50.0%
Edge
+11.7
Odds
2.00

Match Winner

Aston Villa Win

Edge +1.5%Correct
Our model51.5%
The market50.0%
Edge
+1.5
Odds
2.00

Draw No Bet

Aston Villa (DNB)

Correct
Our model50.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-7.1
Odds
1.75

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 4 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.