Premier League badgePremier League · 19 April 2026AI PICK

Aston Villa badgeAston VillavsSunderland badgeSunderland

4 - 3
Correct

Full time · 3 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
57.0%
Market said
50.0%
Edge
+7.0 pts
Best odds
2.00

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Aston Villa Win

Match Winner · best price 2.00

MediumEdge +7.0%
Our model57.0%
The market50.0%

The market underrated this by 7.0 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Aston Villa badge

Aston Villa

Attack54
Defence54
Form53
Sunderland badge

Sunderland

Attack34
Defence53
Form45

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 4 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +5.0%
Our model85.0%
The market80.0%
Edge
+5.0
Odds
1.25

Draw No Bet

Aston Villa (DNB)

Edge +1.9%Correct
Our model59.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
+1.9
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

Aston Villa Win

Edge +7.0%Correct
Our model57.0%
The market50.0%
Edge
+7.0
Odds
2.00

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +2.1%Miss
Our model54.5%
The market52.4%
Edge
+2.1
Odds
1.91

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Correct
Our model49.8%
The market52.4%
Edge
-2.6
Odds
1.91

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 3 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.