FA WSL badgeFA WSL · 9 May 2026AI PICK

Aston Villa W badgeAston Villa WvsArsenal W badgeArsenal W

0 - 3
Correct

Full time · 2 of 3 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
74.7%
Market said
66.7%
Edge
+8.0 pts
Best odds
1.50

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.50

High confidenceEdge +8.0%
Our model74.7%
The market66.7%

The market underrated this by 8.0 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Aston Villa W badge

Aston Villa W

Attack45
Defence28
Form24
Arsenal W badge

Arsenal W

Attack84
Defence94
Form73

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 3 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Correct
Our model85.0%
The market87.7%
Edge
-2.7
Odds
1.14

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +8.0%Correct
Our model74.7%
The market66.7%
Edge
+8.0
Odds
1.50

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +12.7%Miss
Our model67.3%
The market54.6%
Edge
+12.7
Odds
1.83

Draw No Bet

Arsenal W (DNB)

Our model44.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-13.1
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

Arsenal W Win

Our model30.0%
The market50.0%
Edge
-20.0
Odds
2.00

Correct Score

Score: 1-2

Edge +1.1%
Our model8.6%
The market7.5%
Edge
+1.1
Odds
13.39

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-2

8.6%

1-3

7.2%

2-2

6.4%

We called 2 of 3 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.