Derde Divisie - Sunday badgeDerde Divisie - Sunday · 16 May 2026AI PICK

ASWH badgeASWHvsZwaluwen badgeZwaluwen

1 - 6
Correct

Full time · 3 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
63.9%
Market said
54.1%
Edge
+9.8 pts
Best odds
1.85

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Both Teams To Score · best price 1.85

MediumEdge +9.8%
Our model63.9%
The market54.1%

The market underrated this by 9.8 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

ASWH badge

ASWH

Attack43
Defence34
Form20
Zwaluwen badge

Zwaluwen

Attack55
Defence72
Form60

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 5 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +13.6%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market71.4%
Edge
+13.6
Odds
1.40

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +9.8%Correct
Our model63.9%
The market54.1%
Edge
+9.8
Odds
1.85

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +11.1%Correct
Our model63.7%
The market52.6%
Edge
+11.1
Odds
1.90

Draw No Bet

ASWH (DNB)

Miss
Our model47.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-10.1
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

ASWH Win

Miss
Our model43.0%
The market50.0%
Edge
-7.0
Odds
2.00

Correct Score

Score: 1-2

Edge +1.2%
Our model9.0%
The market7.8%
Edge
+1.2
Odds
12.83

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-2

9.0%

1-1

8.5%

0-1

8.1%

We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.