Serie A · 23 August 2026AI PICK
Atalantavs
Sassuolo
2 - 1Full time · 4 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 58.4%
- Market said
- 57.2%
- Edge
- +1.2 pts
- Best odds
- 1.67
The call, locked before kick-off
CorrectOver 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 1.67
The market underrated this by 1.2 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Close match - low confidence
Every market we called
4 of 4 right
Double Chance
1X (Home or Draw)
- Edge
- -14.5
- Odds
- 1.15
Draw No Bet
Atalanta (DNB)
- Edge
- -14.9
- Odds
- 1.26
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +1.2
- Odds
- 1.67
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- -0.4
- Odds
- 1.80
Match Winner
Atalanta Win
- Edge
- -16.7
- Odds
- 1.50
Correct Score
Score: 2-1
- Edge
- -1.3
- Odds
- 10.34
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
2-1
8.4% · actual
1-1
8.6%
2-2
7.1%
We called 4 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.