Segunda División badgeSegunda División · 23 May 2026AI PICK

Atenas badgeAtenasvsPaysandu badgePaysandu

3 - 2
Miss

Full time · 2 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
61.7%
Market said
54.1%
Edge
+7.6 pts
Best odds
1.85

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Both Teams To Score: No

Both Teams To Score · best price 1.85

MediumEdge +7.6%
Our model61.7%
The market54.1%

The market underrated this by 7.6 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Atenas badge

Atenas

Attack40
Defence34
Form29
Paysandu badge

Paysandu

Attack34
Defence44
Form21

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 4 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +6.9%
Our model85.0%
The market78.1%
Edge
+6.9
Odds
1.28

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: No

Edge +7.6%Miss
Our model61.7%
The market54.1%
Edge
+7.6
Odds
1.85

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Miss
Our model60.8%
The market62.5%
Edge
-1.7
Odds
1.60

Match Winner

Atenas Win

Edge +6.9%Correct
Our model58.2%
The market51.3%
Edge
+6.9
Odds
1.95

Draw No Bet

Atenas (DNB)

Correct
Our model54.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-3.1
Odds
1.75

Correct Score

Score: 1-0

Edge +2.4%Miss
Our model18.5%
The market16.1%
Edge
+2.4
Odds
6.21

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-0

18.5%

0-1

15.2%

0-0

14.5%

We called 2 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.